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DAY TWO OF THE MLB DRAFT

MLB completed day 2 of its draft on Monday afternoon and we learned a couple of things:   First, I have no special talent for mock drafts.  I struck out on all of my choices.  Not to worry though, I still enjoyed myself some delicious sweet potato cheesecake, from Sharon’s Creole Kitchen, one of my absolute favorite restaurants located in Murrieta.  I enjoyed some fried alligator there on Sunday evening.   Delicious!!!  But I digress.  Second, there was no discernable strategy employed by teams that was different from prior years.   As in the past, several high school talents, that figured to be tough signs, were not drafted.  No surprise there.   The Dodgers deviated from their normal script in that instead of selecting pitchers, this year they selected 8 position players out of their 9 selections.  Last year they selected 19 pitchers out of their 20 picks, with Damon Keith being the only position player selected.

I know that virtually every Dodger blog has already profiled the players selected by the Dodgers and this may seem a bit repetitious to some of you readers.  However, not to be outdone, and to keep Jeff’s blog relevant, I provide my short recap of the selections:

 

*         Pick No. 98:   Chase Harlan, Central Bucks East High School, Doylestown, PA.  Harlan is a solidly built young man, 6’3″, 215 lbs who has a ton of power.  He throws and bats right-handed, was a second-team All-American selection by Baseball America following his senior year at CB East. He also earned first-team All-Suburban One League Colonial Division honors three times. According to most baseball wags, he was the best high school position player in Pennsylvania.  Harlan was drafted a third baseman, which was his primary position in high school.  However, unless he’s Nolan Arenado, he’ll probably end up being a corner outfielder or first baseman.  I hope he can stick at third, as it would be nice for the Dodgers to develop a thrived baseman.  Wherever he plays, one thing is certain, the dude can hit.  He participated in the invitation only MLB Draft Combine in Phoenix recently and opened a lot of eyes.  Apparently, he hit the longest home run (453.4 feet) of all the prospects and tied for the second with the highest exit velocity (112.4 MPH).  Hitting a baseball 450 feet is impressive no matter how the ball is pitched.  Harlan lives in the borough of Doylestown.  Doylestown is located about 40 miles north of Philadelphia.  After the way the Phillies treated us recently, it feels good to stick to them, by drafting the best player in their state our from under them.  Take that Phillies!  Doylestown to the outside world through the “Tools of the Nation-Maker” museum of the Bucks County Historical Society. I’m embarrassed to admit it, but until today, I was totally unaware of that museum.  Probably its most famous resident is Pulitzer Prize winning author, Pearl S. Buck, who, I’m happy to say I have heard of.  Though I haven’t read any of her books.

Harlan batted .414 over his final three seasons, helping the CB East to the school’s first baseball berth in the 2024 PIAA state playoffs. For the year he hit 13 home runs, with 63 RBI, along with 18 doubles and 58 runs scored.  He also had an OPS of 1.220 during that span.

As to his excitement about getting drafted, Harlan said “this is what I worked my whole life for — to play professional baseball, for all of it to (begin) on Sunday, it’s a crazy thing to think about. I can’t really describe how excited I am. There’s a lot to take in at once.”  As to the Dodgers, he texted “Very happy, Fantastic organization and great fit.”  He’s a Clemson commit, but the feeling is that he will sign.

As another point of honor, Harlan is the highest drafted Bucks County position player since the Cleveland Indians selected Holy Ghost Prep’s Nolan Jones in the second round (55th pick) in 2016.

 

*         Pick No. 125: Jakob Wright, LHP, Cal Poly San Luis Obispo.  Wright does not have your prototypical pitcher’s build, being 6’0″ 170 lb. Wright is a typical Dodger draftee.  He redshirted his freshman year in 2022 because of internal brace surgery on his elbow.  We just love those players that have had arm, elbow or shoulder surgery.  He didn’t pitch much his second year, but this past year he came into his own, being the best pitcher for the Cal Poly Mustangs.  He finished this past year, 8-2, 2.77 and 92 Ks in 78 IP.  While he doesn’t throw particularly hard, he has some serious spin on his slider, which scouts say is a major league pitch now.  He’s a very good athlete and can repeat his delivery consistently.  I’m partial to Cal Poly players, and hopes he finds much success. I wouldn’t expect to see him have the success of recently drafted Mustangs, Brooks Lee and Drew Thorpe. I sincerely hope that I’m wrong, but I see him as a decent bullpen piece.  Picture him as possibly being a better version of Justin Bruihl.  That’s not a hall of Fame career, but not bad.

 

*         Pick No. 190:   Brooks Auger, RHP, Mississippi State University.  Auger is a 6’5, 215 lb senior. Auger hails from Farmerville, Louisiana, which is 1½ hour east of Shreveport.  Farmerville is a small town with a population of 3300, which is the home to Lake D’Arbonne, which I’ll have you know has been named either #2 or #3 in the USA for crappie fishing.  Auger’s parents are Kurt and Renee, and he has 2 siblings, a brother and sister.  Kurt Auger is the pastor at First Baptist Church of Farmerville, a position he has held since 2008.   Auger attended Cedar Creek High in Rushton, where he was selected as a 2020 Rawlings-Perfect Game Senior Preseason Honorable Mention selection for the Southeast Region.  In 2019, struck out 79 batters in 56.2 innings pitched while compiling a 3.47 ERA for the Cedar Creek Cougars.

He attended Hines Community College as a freshman, where he had 7-1 record, giving up 17 runs (13 earned) on 33 hits in 40.2 innings of work. He struck out 53 and walked 18, with a 2.88 ERA.  He transferred to Mississippi State as a sophomore and pitched mostly out of the pen.  He had a good, but not spectacular year, 2-0, with a 3.05 ERA. In 20.2 innings, he struck out 27, allowed 10 runs (7 earned) on 16 hits and 12 walks.  He held opponents to a .219 batting average.  The next year he was out with an injury.  Of course he was.  This past season, he was named to the SEC All-Tournament Team. He finished 1-2, with 2 saves in 20 appearances, 5 of which were starts.  He struck 50, walked 17 and allowed 20 runs (17 earned) in 45.2 innings.  He had a 3.35 ERA, second best on the team and held opponents to a .215 batting average.  He throws hard (93-97), but not exceptionally so.  He has a reliever’s profile, but depending on how he takes to minor league life and the development team of the Dodgers, he could do more.  He’ll probably sign an under-slot deal.

 

*         Pick No. 220: Elijah Hainline, OF, Oregon State, OR.  Hainline is a Spokane native, who attended Mead High School, and played two years at Washington State before transferring to Oregon State.  Hainline was a four-year letter winner for the Mead Panthers.  He was also a captain his junior and senior year, batting .444 with 21 runs, 13 stolen bases, and 16 walks in his senior year. His parents are Jim and Melissa Hainline.  Jim is the owner of Sportscards North West and Melissa is a second-grade teacher.

 

Out of high school, Hainline made the short move to Pullman to play infield for the Washington State Cougars. Over two seasons at WSU, Hainline started 96 games and appeared in 99 games overall. He was named an All-Pac-12 Honorable Mention as a sophomore and became the first Couger with double figures in doubles, home runs, and stolen bases since 2010.

After two years at Washington State, Hainline transferred to Oregon State. This past season, Hainline helped lead the Beavers to a top-12 finish in every major top-25 poll in a year where the Beavers hosted and won the 2024 NCAA Corvallis Regional of the NCAA Tournament, beating Tulane and UC Irvine.

The Beavers then moved on to the Super Regional round, where Oregon State fell to Kentucky. In 2024, Hainline played in and started 59 games, batting .280 with 16 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs, and 45 RBI.

Hainline’s ambitions are low.  When asked about being drafted, he said “It’s just baseball and it’s an opportunity to play. I think the end goal is to play in the big leagues for a long time and become a Hall of Famer, and that’s kind of just the end goal anyway. So just got to keep that in your mindset.”  Let’s hope he achieves his goal.

Hainline also said that he was surprised at being drafted by the Dodgers. He does have the option to return for another year to OSU, but the feeling is he will sign.

*         Pick No. 250: Brendan Tinink, OF, Newman Central Catholic, Oregon, Illinois.  Tinink is a 6’1″ 190lb left-handed hitter who excelled as both a hitter and pitcher at Newman Catholic. In September of 2022, Tinink committed to playing baseball at Notre Dame.  More importantly, he may be Bluto’s favorite draft pick.  That is enough to secure a solid major league career right there.  According to Dodger’s Digest, Jim Callis described him as “a center fielder who can run and has some hitting ability, and you like the bat speed. If he gets stronger, there might be some power.” Callis gave him a Charlie Tilson comp. Say what?  Who the heck is Charlie Tilson?  I had to look him up.  In a 3-year MLB career, Tilson had a -1.9 WAR, an OPS of .600 and an OPS+ of 65.  No thank you, I’ll pass on that comparison and go with Bluto’s Cody Bellinger comparison.  We don’t need no stinkin’ -1.9 WAR.

Tinink appears to be a very hard and dedicated worker.  He spoke about his love for baseball: “I love it so much that I would rather be sleeping at a baseball field than my house. I’d rather be at the baseball field for hours instead of going inside. I also want to perform well and that’s why I want to train every day. I want to be prepared for better pitching, better teams. I want to perform well in front of other people. That’s the dedication of training in the winter every day.”

*         Pick No. 280: Kole Myers, OF, Troy University, Alabama.  Myers, a native of Lafayette, Louisiana, where he attended Jennings High School. He was an honor student, four-year all-district selection, all-state and all-Southwest Louisiana recipient and his senior year he hit .571 and six home runs.

Myers started his college career at Louisiana State University at Eunice from 2020 to 2022, batting .306 in 188 games and 81 starts with 83 hits, 9 home runs and 69 RBI while also being a member of the team’s 2021 National Championship squad.

In his two years at Troy, Myers had a .309 batting average in 472 plate appearances with 146 hits, 25 home runs, 85 RBI and a slugging percentage of .553. He also holds a .980 fielding percentage with 286 putouts for the Trojans and was named Second Team All-Sun Belt in 2024.

Most telling about this young man is what his coach Skylar Meade had this to say about him “two years ago when Kole set foot on our campus, he helped us create an identity as a program, He set the tone for us nearly winning 80 games the last two years as one of the most dynamic players to ever play at Troy. He is a super kid from an awesome family and is going to an elite organization where talents can prevail. We are over the top happy for Kole and can’t wait to see him in professional baseball.”

Sounds like the type of young man you can’t help but root for.  As a senior, he will sign and probably significantly under slot.

*         Pick No. 310: Seamus Barrett, RHP, Loyola Marymount, California.  He’s a big kid, 6’7″ 220 lbs that previously pitched for Louisville.  He’s originally from Arlington, Massachusetts and was rated the number 10 pitcher in the state out of high school. Apparently, his nickname is “Moose.”  He appears to throw hard and, while that hasn’t translated into glowing success.  He has a good attitude and wants to succeed. I hope he does, but truthfully, not many 10th round picks do.  Again, I hope he proves me wrong.  Uncharacteristically, the Dodgers selected more position players than pitchers on day one and 2.  The theme seemed to be to select athletic, character guys, with string work ethic that seem to be personally well-grounded and disciplined.  They also seemed to lean towards players that came from small towns.  It’s a tough field in which to make a living, but I do hope that for these young men, the dream of being drafted and playing pro ball is everything they hoped for and I also hope they can have an injury free career, however, long or short it might be.

 

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Michael Norris

AL wins all-star game for the 10th time in the lest 11 games. Otani with a 3 run-shot for their only runs. Rob wrote this article; I was not able to change the name. Manfred said they will have discussions about letting the players wear their own team uniforms again in the All-Star game

Last edited 3 months ago by Jeff Dominique
Dave

Why is the AL so dominant in the All-Star game?

Michael Norris

So far, better pitching.

Dave

Why does the AL have better pitching?

Singing the Blue

Jeff, I believe I was the one to compare Tunink to Beli. Since he’s been comped to Charlie Tilson, a guy with negative WAR, I don’t want to stick Bluto with a prediction that doesn’t look like it has a high chance of success.

If you mentioned him also Bluto, I’m happy to share his success or failure with you.

Bluto

I don’t understand this. Sorry.

Singing the Blue

Not to worry. It was a conversation about a guy we drafted. Rob thought you made the comment and I was just pointing out that it had actually been me.

Bluto

Ha! Too many words in that article, I skipped it before coffee.

Have a lovely day.

Dionysus

Kinda have to wait until these guys sign.

dodgerram

Has Joendry Vargas been promoted to RC ? Has not played for the ACL Dodgers recently.

Go Dodgers!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Oldbear48

As of this morning, he is not on the Quakes roster, but they are on a break. So, I will check again on Friday.

Oldbear48

Rob wrote this article guys. Jeff could not edit the author.

Last edited 3 months ago by Jeff Dominique
Singing the Blue

Thanks Bear. I should have realized that even with the wrong name up top.

Badger

Jake Vogel has hit .217 in two years at A ball. In 408 plate appearances Kendall George has 12 extra base hits but he does get on base at .400 so I think there is hope for him.

I have no clue if any of these guys have a chance but I of course have hope. We just have to wait and see. I do find it curious there are so many small town picks.

I only watched a couple innings of that game yesterday. Did see Ohtani’s meaningless home run. Now, Dodger All Stars, go home and sleep in hyperbaric oxygen chambers for a couple of days.

Last edited 3 months ago by Badger
Bumsrap

A game for 1000 advertisements.

Michael Norris

And really ugly uniforms.

Bumsrap

No kidding. HRD National Anthem was better.

Bumsrap

…”In 408 plate appearances Kendall George has 12 extra base hits but he does get on base at .400

One would think with his speed he would have stretched a few more singles into doubles. If he steals 40 bases at 90% success rate, he could be a good #9 hitter.

Duke Not Snider

A good “second lead-off” for the Dodgers… in about three or four years, perhaps.
But if a guy with great speed gets on base close to 40% of the time, he’d bat leadoff on most teams. If George produces decent numbers in the minors, he might a good trade chip.

Wally Moonshot

I guess I’d be more excited about some of the Dodger’s draft picks if I thought they actually had a shot of making the big club. We’ve all seen how the Dodgers turn prospects into career minor leaguers or use them as part of trades to get big name players. Except for pitchers. We’ll see.

Badger

Yeah, we’ll see. In the meantime trade some of those in waiting for some of those who can help.

Oldbear48

The next 14 days will be very crucial for the Dodgers. The roster additions and trades they might make will go a long way into deciding how far they can advance in the playoffs. I think we all understand that this team cannot win with the present roster. Changes need to be made. Some players are going to be moving on. Two will most likely return this weekend. Heyward and Glasnow. Outman will probably be the first casualty and go back to OKC when Heyward is activated. Vanasco will probably go down when Glasnow comes back. Biggio is not long for this roster. He will most likely get DFAd and then released when no one picks him up. Toronto so far has shown no inclination that they are going to trade Bichette before the off-season.

Bumsrap

The Dodgers have too many guys that want to be in the lineup. I’d like to trade a few of them and tell those who remain it is up to them to get it done.

Say goodbye to Kike’ Taylor, Heyward, Biggio, and Vargas plus $$$.

Bobby

I see that there’s some minor league all star game on tonight.

Anyone know if that’s the AAA All Star game, and if so, do we have anyone in the game?

OhioDodger

Dodgers farm system is like the kitchen junk drawer. You keep throwing stuff in it thinking you will use it someday but never do.

Phil Jones

OhioDodger – that’s just a great line. I’m stealing that one, if you don’t mind.

Last edited 3 months ago by Phil Jones
OhioDodger

No problem.

Singing the Blue

I woulda charged him for it. Maybe some sort of licensing fee based on how often he uses it.

Phil Jones

Are you keeping track? 😄

Singing the Blue

Honor system.

OhioDodger

Anybody know what percentage of drafted players actually make it to the majors? I am sure the % is high for the first 2 rounds. I wonder what the overall number is.

Bluto

Baseball America just had a podcast about this.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/what-can-you-expect-from-your-teams-mlb-draft-class-other-draft-day-questions-answered/

i think 2 position players on average per draft class make it to the majors, and I can’t remember the pitching numbers. They get into the fact that it’s more than getting into the majors. Most teams would take getting one Mike Trout to the majors over getting eight above average draftees to MLB.

Unsurprisingly, the Dodgers do well.

Last edited 3 months ago by Bluto
OhioDodger

Thanks.

Bluto

Of course.

Bumsrap

Tarik Skubal

Will he be a Dodger?



Singing the Blue

No. But he might be an Oriole.

Phil Jones

Thank You Rob for the information and profiles on the Dodger draftees. Lots of hard work and it’s appreciated.
As I have followed this draft, the potential of acquiring quality high school talent in the lower rounds seems harder and harder now that collages can “legally” pay players thru the NIL collectives and partial scholarships. And it may get “worse” as colleges could expand from 11.7 scholarships, with new rules. 

Finding a raw project type kid who can be signed for a song and developed in an organization, seems less likely if the kid has the academics to go to college. College guys , who are draft eligible, who are coming from strong D-1 programs, seem to be more and more AA ready. 
The colleges are replacing the minors for USA talent. The minors are more and more for US kids who were drafted out of college, are anxious to be a pro and skip college or they couldn’t get in college. And the minors have become more filled with non-USA kids.
  
As I wrote previously, first rounders will make at least 2 million. The number falls to less than 1 million at pick #78, 4 picks into the 3rd round. Slot money for the last pick against the bonus pool is #315, in the 10th round and is $178,000.
Picks in rounds 11 to 20 don’t come with assigned slot values, though any money spent over $150,000 for those players will come out of the bonus pool.

So, my point is this: 7th round slot money is $247,000 for Elijah Heinline after his career at OSU. He could go back for another year if he and his advisors think he could move up next year. But as Rob predicted, he’ll probably sigh for something close to slot $

But as Badger and I discussed, Brandon Tunick, the next pick with a slot value of $205,800, could bet on himself, go to Notre Dame on scholarship, dip into NIL $ pool and go much higher in 3 years. We will see what he chooses. Badger clearly suggested he go to Notre Dame.

This decision for the players, families and agents is nothing new, but now different. What is different is the NIL money enticement to go to college, if you’re a high school kid.
If I am a good, recruited high school player who has NIL promises and some financial aid from a quality baseball college, I would need to be a Fifth Round Pick, at least, to sign. That’s picks 166-195: slot value $385,500 – $302,700. Those numbers might induce me to sign depending of the organization and how much I wanted to bet on myself. Less than that amount in today’s economy would be a hard choice.

Drafted as a high schooler this day and age after round 10, I’m going to college, if I can. Slot values increased in the 2024 MLB Draft by 8.7%. That doesn’t keep up with inflation. So if I have the option, I’m not signing for $150,000.

I predict that with NIL opportunities and the possible rule changes by court cases, NCAA, SEC and the Big-10, at least for the next few years, we will see fewer kids willing to sign out of high school as long as schools can pay to get players. And perhaps we will see a reduction from 20 rounds in the MLB Draft.

Last edited 3 months ago by Phil Jones
Singing the Blue

Your points about high school kids choosing college more frequently with the new rules is well taken, but last year the Dodgers drafted another high school outfielder in the 8th round, Jaron Elkins.

Slot value was $189,300 but they signed him for $407,500 so if they maneuver their signings correctly they may be able to pull off something similar with Tunink this year.

Phil Jones

STB, Maybe on Tunick but I don’t see the tool-kit there to break the bank like they did on Elkins.

Balancing the Bonus Pool is tricky business and without the knowledge of all the backroom dealing that go on, I don’t know what I’m talking about with shear numbers. All I can do at look at the slot money and signing bonuses.
  
As you mentioned in last year’s draft, in the 8th round, pick (250): Jaron Elkins, OF, Goodpasture Christian School, was “above slot, a lot” (see what I did there?)
Pick value: $189,300
Signing bonus: $407,500 
Currently @ ACL
so was:
Round 6 (190): Bryan Gonzalez, SS, Carlos Beltran Baseball Academy
Pick value: $290,100
Signing bonus: $397,500 @ ACL

Round 18 (550): Sterling Patick, LHP, South Hills High School (CA) – sore arm
Round 11 to Round 20 slot is $150,000 
Again – Picks in rounds 11 to 20 don’t come with assigned slot values, though any money spent over $150,000 for those players will come out of the bonus pool.
So, pick value $150,000
Signing bonus: $347,500. 
That’s about late 5th round money. 
currently @ACL roster

Some under slot:
10 (310): Sam Mongelli, SS, Sacred Heart University
Pick value: $164,600
Signing bonus: $47,500 @ Great Lakes
Too my prior point, a college guy who wanted an opportunity to play

CB-A (36): Kendall George, OF, Atascocita HS
Pick value: $2,362,700
Signing bonus: $1,847,500. At Rancho A
To my point, a high school guy who still got an opportunity and a million-eight.

So, it’s a balancing act to get to the Bonus Pool Cap for sure  

Oldbear48

The Dodgers optioned Michael Petersen back to OKC. This opens a spot for Joe Kelly who is expected to be activated on Friday. Heyward is also expected back with Glasnow returning Saturday.

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