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NL Wild Card – Dodgers v Reds

Dodgers Wild Card Roster

Pitchers:

  • Jack Dreyer
  • Tyler Glasnow
  • Edgardo Henriquez
  • Roki Sasaki
  • Tanner Scott
  • Emmet Sheehan
  • Blake Snell
  • Blake Treinen
  • Alex Vesia
  • Justin Wrobleski
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Two-Way Player:

  • Shohei Ohtani

Catchers:

  • Ben Rortvedt
  • Dalton Rushing
  • Will Smith

Infielders:

  • Mookie Betts
  • Freddie Freeman
  • Max Muncy
  • Miguel Rojas

Outfielders:

  • Alex Call
  • Justin Dean
  • Teoscar Hernández
  • Andy Pages

Utility:

  • Tommy Edman
  • Kiké Hernández
  • Hyeseong Kim

The Dodgers went with 11 pitchers so they could have 3 catchers, Dean, and Kim.

Against the RHSP Hunter Greene, the starting lineup figures to be:

  1. Shohei Ohtani – DH
  2. Mookie Betts – SS
  3. Freddie Freeman – 1B
  4. Max Muncy – 3B
  5. Teoscar Hernández – RF
  6. Tommy Edman – CF
  7. Andy Pages – LF
  8. Miguel Rojas – 2B
  9. Ben Rortvedt – C

SP – Blake Snell (LHP)

Max, Teo, Edman, and Pages will be shifted around for Games 2 and 3 (if necessary), and maybe Rushing gets a start over Rortvedt.

Projected Reds lineup:

  1. TJ Friedl – CF
  2. Noelvi Marte – RF
  3. Austin Hays – LF
  4. Miguel Andujar – DH
  5. Elly De La Cruz – SS
  6. Spencer Steer – 1B
  7. Tyler Stephenson – C
  8. Ke’Bryan Hayes – 3B
  9. Matt McLain – 2B

SP – Hunter Greene (RHP)

I know some publications used the full season stats for position by position analysis, but I like to look at the 2nd half. This is more equivalent to how they may be trending going into the playoffs.  Just my opinion.

1B:

LAD – Freddie Freeman – 271 PA, .293/.369/.536/.905, 10.0 BB%, 17.7 K%, 14 HR, 118 wRC+

CIN – Spencer Steer – 217 PA, .215/.319/.419/.738, 12.4 BB%, 20.7 K%, 10 HR, 102 wRC+

2B:

LAD – Miguel Rojas – 178 PA, .269/.335/.381/.716, 9.0 BB%, 15.7 K%, 2 HR, 102 wRC+

CIN – Matt McLain – 220 PA, .236/.303/.354/.657, 9.1 BB%, 32.3 K%, 5 HR, 79 wRC+

SS:

LAD – Mookie Betts – 272 PA, .279/.342/.442/.784, 9.2 BB%, 9.6 K%, 9 HR, 118 wRC+

CIN – Elly De La Cruz – 284 PA, .236/.303/.363/.666, 8.8 BB%, 28.2 K%, 4 HR, 80 wRC+

3B:

LAD – Max Muncy – 73 PA, .211/.384/.526/.910, 17.8 BB%, 19.2 K%, 6 HR, 152 wRC+

CIN – Ke’Bryan Hayes – 178 PA – .234/.315/.342/.657, 10.1 BB%, 16.9 K%, 3 HR, 82 wRC+

LF:

LAD – Andy Pages – 246 PA, .252/.293/.435/.728, 4.5 BB%, 23.2 K%, 10 HR, 100 wRC+

CIN – Austin Hays – 224 PA, .234/.315/.342/.657, 10.1 BB%, 25.0 K%, 7 HR, 89 wRC+

CF:

LAD – Tommy Edman – 86 PA, .235/.259/.346/.605, 2.3 BB%, 15.1 K%, 3 HR, 66 wRC+

CIN – TJ Friedl – 274 PA, .238/.359/.335/.694, 12.8 BB%, 26.6 K%, 8 HR, 86 wRC+

RF:

LAD – Teoscar Hernández – 235 PA, .234/.277/.445/.725, 5.1 BB%, 25.5 K%, 11 HR, 97 wRC+

CIN – Noelvi Marte – 256 PA, .254/.285/.410/.695, 3.1 BB%, 26.6 K%, 8 HR, 86 wRC+

DH:

LAD – Shohei Ohtani – 289 PA, .290/.406/.647/1.053, 16.3 BB%, 27.0 K%, 23 HR, 183 wRC+

CIN – Miguel Andujar – 110 PA, .359/.400/.544/.944, 5.5 BB%, 17.3 K%, 4 HR, 159 wRC+

 

Defense:

1B:

LAD: Freddie Freeman – -7 DRS, -1 OAA

CIN: Spencer Steer +8 DRS, +6 OAA

2B:

LAD: Miguel Rojas – +5 DRS, +6 OAA

CIN: Matt McLain – -6 DRS, +6 OAA

SS:

LAD: Mookie Betts – +17 DRS, +5 OAA

CIN: Elly De La Cruz – -5 DRS, -3 OAA

3B:

LAD: Max Muncy – +3 DRS, -4 OAA

CIN: Ke’Bryan Hayes – +3 DRS, +7 OAA

LF:

LAD: Andy Pages – +2 DRS, +2 OAA

CIN: Austin Hays – -2 DRS, +1 OAA

CF:

LAD: Tommy Edman – 0 DRS, +1 OAA

CIN: TJ Friedl – -10 DRS, +1 OAA

RF:

LAD:  Teoscar Hernández – +1 DRS, -9 OAA

CIN: Noelvi Marte – +5 DRS, -1 OAA

While Steer has a clear advantage defensively over Freddie, he does not come close offensively to give him an overall advantage. ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

I read an MLB analyst gave McLain an advantage over Miggy Ro.  No way, offensively and certainly not defensively.  ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

Elly De La Cruz is a special talent, but Mookie Betts is on his way to Cooperstown.  Again Mookie has the advantage offensively and defensively.  ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

Ke’Bryan Hayes is clearly a special defensive 3B.  Max will make routine plays, but Hayes will make all of the plays.  But Max’s power is the clear difference maker between these two.  ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

Austin Hays is a good overall player who is capable of beating you with the bat.  But he is not a good enough defensive LF, whereas Pages has a better bad and a better arm which is somewhat mitigated in LF. ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

I was very surprised to see Friedl’s DRS because he looked like he was a better defender.  But his offense gives him an advantage over Edman.  ADVANTAGE – Reds

Noelvi Marte is a good ball player even though his judgement is suspect.  He is obviously a better defensive RF than Teo.  Offensively Teo is an upgrade over Marte. SLIGHT ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

If Will Smith was able to get behind the dish, this would have been a clear advantage for LAD.  But the Dodgers are going with their backup catcher(s). While both Rortvedt and Rushing are very good at managing their pitchers, Stephenson is a better overall player.  ADVANTAGE – Reds

While Miguel Andujar has been excellent for Cincinnati since coming over from the A’s at the deadline, is there really any question for the DH?  ADVANTAGE – Dodgers

 

Selected team stats for the full season:

LAD – .253/.327/.441/.768 – 244 HR, 825 Runs, 580 BB, 1,353 K

CIN – .245/.315/.391/.706 – 167 HR, 716 Runs, 527 BB, 1,415 K

 

2nd half of season:

LAD – .247/.321/.434/.755 – 99 HR, 307 Runs, 227 BB, 547 K

CIN – .242/.311/.381/.692 – 64 HR, 275 Runs, 210 BB, 573 K

 

Team Pitching full season:

LAD – Overall 3.95 ERA, Starter 3.69 ERA, Reliever 4.27 ERA

CIN – Overall 3.86 ERA, Starter 3.85 ERA, Reliever 3.89 ERA

2nd half of season:

LAD – Overall 3.45 ERA, Starter 3.03 ERA, Reliever 4.06 ERA

CIN – Overall 3.79 ERA, Starter 3.79 ERA, Reliever 3.78 ERA

While the Reds have a formidable starting rotation of Hunter Greene, Andrew Abbott, and Nick Lodolo, the Dodgers can better that with Blake Snell, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Shohei Ohtani (if needed).

With the starters (Glasnow and Sheehan) going into the bullpen and with Sasaki, the Dodgers bullpen is not the same as they put out during the season.

Three game series are a crapshoot.  But if the teams play up to their respective capabilities, the Dodgers should win in 2.  I agree with Jerry Hairston Jr. and Nomar that the LAD key will be hitting wRISP.  New season.

 

My prediction – Dodgers in 2.

 

 

Jeff Dominique

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Bobby
Bobby
11 days ago

Blood pressure pills will be taken before 6pm today.

I love/hate this time of year, for 13 straight years now!!

philjones
philjones
11 days ago

Surprised to see Jessica Mendoza in the booth for the Padres – Cubs series. To balanced that out, she’s paired with Ben McDonald who does Baltimore’s games and College World Series. Ben is one of my favorites.
i usually don’t like pitchers doing color as they over analyze. But Ben is great. One of the best.

getting psyched for the Dodgers.

Kickstart
Kickstart
11 days ago

Kiké is in left tonight. I like that. Been swinging a nice bat and his D is great no matter where he plays plus a good arm. Hope Muncy is not cold hitting cleanup. We’ve handled Green well in the past should be able to once again. Snell is such a competitor. Feel good with him on the bump. Playoffs here we come

david
david
11 days ago

So Edman at 2nd and Kike in left.?? So is Edman ankle still an issue??

Bobby
Bobby
10 days ago
Reply to  david

I’d think that’s the reason, ya

Bobby
Bobby
10 days ago

I”m rather happy with this start so far.

david
david
10 days ago
Reply to  Bobby

It is kind of calming

Sam Oyed
Sam Oyed
10 days ago
Reply to  Jeff Dominique

I was thinking of you as I watched Henriquez pitch.

Dodgerfan
Dodgerfan
10 days ago
Reply to  Jeff Dominique

It looks to me like dryer was aiming his pitches instead of throwing

Watford Dodger
Watford Dodger
10 days ago
Reply to  Jeff Dominique

I’m presuming Banda must be injured. Inexplicable otherwise.

Last edited 10 days ago by Watford Dodger
Sam Oyed
Sam Oyed
10 days ago
Reply to  Watford Dodger

I don’t recall seeing Banda pitch the last few games.

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