What a way to end a 10-1 home stand. Julio Urías did not have his A game, and did not get any help from his LFer., but they found a way to grind out a big win. Gavin Lux may in fact become an All Star, but not in LF. We have been told how tough it is to play a day game in the OF at Dodger Stadium, but Gavin Lux will tell you he should have caught that ball hit by Ian Happ. If he catches that ball, maybe he does not let the ball hit by Nico Hoerner drop in front of him. Snake bit? Loss of confidence? Sure, but he is a ML player who should make those plays, and he knows it.
But it was Julio that gave up the Granny to P. J. Higgins. He had multiple 2 strike counts on batters in the first, but could not get the 3rd one. Both HBPs, the Hoerner single, the Higgins Granny, the Bote walk were all with 2 strikes. The first inning has always been a problem for Julio. This game was no different, but with the LF miscues, this start was one to forget. He came back out in the 2nd, and retired the side in order with 2 Ks. Both Doc and Freddie Freeman thought the 2nd inning by Julio was huge.
Down 5-0, it would have been easy for the team to dial one in. They were already 9-1 on the homestand. They had a 7 game lead on SD and a 2.5 game lead over NYM for the best record in the NL. LAD comes back with 3 in the first, and there is a ballgame going on. The team got a sac fly from Max Muncy for run #3, just his 2nd of the year. But kudos to Max for the sac fly and the double later in the game.
A 3-run HR off of Phil Bickford put the Cubs back up by 5 after 2.5 innings. However, the Dodgers hung six on the Cubs in the bottom of the 3rd. to take a 9-8 lead, a lead they never relinquished.
Freddie jacked up his AS resume with a 4-5 day including his 11th HR, including legging out an infield hit. His hardest hit ball was an out. Lux reached base 4 times with 2 hits and 2 walks. Does Freddie replace Bryce Harper? The Nationals Josh Bell will have an argument, but the game is in LA. What does that mean? I think a better argument could be made that Bell should have been the Nationals representative instead of Juan Soto. But Josh Bell does not have the rep as does Soto. Just my opinion.
Helmetless Freddie Freeman is a mad man on the basepaths 😂
Freddie knew he was safe #Dodgers
— Doug McKain (@DMAC_LA) July 10, 2022
Max has had an awful year, but he is not quitting. There are 77 qualified hitters in the NL. On the list for each of the batting metrics, Max is:
- BA – 77
- OBP – 54
- SLG – 76
- OPS – 73
And yet the Dodgers are on a 106-107 win season pace. What happens if Max goes home for the AS break and turns his season around, starting with the Giants after the ASG.
What did not go unnoticed by the announcers or the players after the game was the 2B defense of Gavin Lux. He is a 2B, and as I said yesterday, if it costs Max Muncy ABs, so be it. Gavin Lux is now #7 in BA in the NL. After this homestand, the Dodgers have 3 players in the top 10 BA (Gavin, Trea Turner, and Freddie).
Outside of Sunday’s game, the starting pitching was brilliant over the 11 game stand. The bullpen, except for Craig Kimbrel’s blown save, and Sunday’s game, the bullpen was also brilliant. One encouraging sight was seeing Brusdar Graterol come into the game, 3 days after leaving with side soreness, that turned out to be cramps. He entered the game with runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs, stranded both runners, and pitched a 1-2-3 9th inning thanks to a pair of excellent defensive plays: one by Gavin Lux and one by JT. He got his 3rd save of the year, all within the last 3 weeks. The last two in the last 5 days.
Justin Turner has found his swagger again. He was hitting .206 on June 17. A little over 3 weeks later, his BA is now at .250. For the month of July, JT is hitting .438/.472/.625/1.097.
It is easy to look at the blown loss with SD and say the Dodgers should have been 11-0 on their homestand. But with the number of come back wins in the last 7 wins (6), losing the one was a little easier to swallow, except it was against SD. I accept a 10-1 record as outstanding.
With the way this team is grinding out victories, and with the number of come from behind victories (25), they are reminding me of the 2017 team. The confidence has to be soaring in that clubhouse. They do not expect to lose, and they find ways of making it happen.
The Dodgers swept the Cubs, while the Giants and Padres split 4 games. LAD picked up 2 games on both teams. They now lead SD by 8.0 games, SFG by 12.5, and they have stretched their NL lead over NYM by 3.5 games.
During the Game we learned that the Dodgers added Clayton Kershaw and Tony Gonsolin to the NL All Star team. The Dodgers now have 4 and possibly more on the way.
Nice win even if it wasn’t pretty. Anderson got jobbed, nuff said.
Unsure if there are many podcast listeners here, but I do listen (walking dog, to and from work, working out, TMI?)
Today’s Tony Kornheiser show has Passan on. It’s a wonderful conversation about the tragic state of starting pitching, how we got here, why we’re here and why changing the paradigm may not be as easy to accomplish as one would quickly think.
The opening interview with Michael Wilbon is also, IMHO, a listen as they discuss the world of AAU basketball which is also moving, sadly (very sadly) into a world where only more and more those with means and access can benefit.
I guess this is not the first year Justin has started slowly. Combined with his age and extra slow start we had to be a little worried. I am ready to move on without Justin next year though. Giants have an older team, Dodgers should not join them.
With Taylor and Muncy striking out so much the Dodgers could use a righty bat. Trace is providing that bat so far but no reason to believe he will keep it up. I like him and am pulling for him. I’m thinking that righty bat needs to be at third for now with Justin getting mostly DH at bats. Muncy needs to sit more.
All that said I think the Dodgers should wait until next year to make any changes or trades. Managing the 40 might require some trades though.
I am inclined to agree with you on trades at the deadline. I do not think there is a RH bat that is a difference maker that will be available. I am not okay with trading away 2 top 100 picks plus for Andrew Benintendi or Luis Castillo. I am okay with trading some prospects, but not the ML ready ones…you know the ones everyone wants. I would be willing to trade lottery picks for relievers. I am not upset about Yordan Alvarez or Oneil Cruz. I know those with 20-20 hindsight are upset, but I do not remember reading from anyone that they were upset at the time. NOBODY.
If KC wants to trade Scott Barlow for Rayne Doncon (who I like) or Wilman Diaz, okay with me. If the Cubs want to trade David Robertson for either of those, also okay with me. AF would probably have to up the ante for Barlow because of the two years plus control. Maybe Doncon or Diaz go off and become All World, but not this year, and those relievers are needed this year. It is more likely that Andrew Chafin or Steve Chisek or Anthony Bass or Mark Leiter Jr. will be who AF thinks are more appropriate.
Considering the high hopes around Diaz when he was signed, I’d be surprised to see AF let him go for a non-closer relief pitcher, even one with some control. I know he hasn’t exactly gotten off to a blazing start but he’s still only 18. As a matter of fact, if I’m KC and Andrew says I can have Diaz for Barlow, I’m wondering what’s wrong with Diaz.
The more I think about Chafin, the farther up the “get him” list I move him. He wouldn’t cost as much, prospect wise, as Barlow and we would only get him for this year, but I think he might be a big help.
Andrew………………………go get Andrew.
Thanks for finally drinking your coffee and moseying over here to entertain me. Start working on your priorities. Geez!
You find me entertaining? That means the world to me, Fred.
Tell you what, I’m going to get Joc back here for you. And I’m going to do it by trading Muncy for him.
No, no……………don’t thank me. It’s the least I could do.
Now you have me wondering what the most you could do for me is.
Get Joc and eliminate both Max and Cody?
Do the Dodgers need both Diaz and Rayne Doncon? They also have Miguel Droz at ACL, and multiple SS prospects in DSL. 4 that show promise are 17 year old Mairoshendrick Martinus, Jeral Perez, and Eduardo Guerrero, plus 18 year old Elio Campos. I have absolutely no idea which of those 4 in DSL will jump as did Doncon (if any). But they are outhitting what Diaz did in DSL. Will that continue? Who knows?
Diaz is 18 in ACL and hitting fairly poor. .188/.231/.257/.488 in 108 PA, 5 BB and 40K. That is 37% K rate in ACL, which seems high to me for a light hitting SS. It seems high to me for a power hitting corner OF/INF.
Miguel Vargas at 18 got to full season A Ball. He destroyed the Arizona Rookie League and the more advanced Rookie League in Ogden.
Alex De Jesus was 17 when he reached Arizona Rookie League where he hit .276/.326/.3748.700 in 178 PA.
I guess I do not see Wilman Diaz as the next Fernando Tatis Jr. or Ozzie Albies. People who are far more informed than me undoubtedly think differently.
BTW, I would have zero problem with Andrew Chafin or Anthony Bass. Cishek just seems like someone AF would go after. He seems to be in the mold of Casey Sadler, JT Chargois, Zac Rosscup, Pat Venditte, Erik Goeddel, or John Axford.
Doncon for Barlow?
For both? I would do it.
The 40 and the 60 are potentially big messes.
Maybe the Castillo talks mean Friedman is thinking about those messes.
MLB is not like the NFL or NBA where you are allowed to trade draft picks…EXCEPT FOR Competitive Balance Picks. The Braves and Royals just announced a trade where the Braves traded their #1 prospect, CF Drew Waters, their #23 prospect RHP Andrew Hoffman, and AA 3B C.J. Alexander to KC for the Royals Competitive Balance pick (#35 overall). The pick has a slot value of $2,202,100. This trade takes the Braves slot value to $10,222,200. The Braves first two slot values are more than their entire LAD bonus slot values.
Alex Anthopoulos believes in trading from strength. Waters may have been their #1 prospect, but with 21 year old Michael Harris II firmly entrenched in CF, Waters was a luxury they could flip. Hoffman was the Braves 11th rated RHP prospect (think Michael Grove LAD #23), and a soon to be 26 year old AA 3B rated below Kody Hoese but probably even with Brandon Lewis (both AA 3B).
Anthopoulos struck again by getting Cano. Will he be this year’s version of Eddie Rosario, Adam Duvall or Jorge Soler ?
It will be interesting to see if Cano has anything left. The Braves have a better clubhouse than either the NYM or SDP.
Anthopoulos struck again by getting Cano. Will he be this year’s version of Eddie Rosario, Adam Duvall or Jorge Soler ?
Baseball America has just released their revised Top 100 Prospect list and Gavin Stone has finally made it, at #57. To my knowledge, this is the first time he’s made any of the major lists.
We had 6 of the top 60 which is pretty special considering where we draft every year. Cartaya was our top rated guy at #10.
It is the first time Gavin Stone has made any top 100. I am not sure that Keith Law agrees with it.
To add on to what STB mentioned:
Diego Cartaya #10 (Up from #23)
Bobby Miller #26 (Up from #27)
Miguel Vargas #30 (Down from #29)
Michael Busch #40 (Up from #54)
Ryan Pepiot #55 (Up from #72)
Gavin Stone #57 (Up from Not Ranked)
Andy Pages #73 (Up from #85)
The Dodgers now have 7 Top 100 prospects and every prospect except for Miguel Vargas rose in the rankings. And Vargas only dropped one slot. $ MLB Rule 4 draft and 3 International FA. All at AA or higher except for the uber prospect, Diego Cartaya.
I think Law likes Stone, just not nearly as much as Miller.
Stop the Lux in LF madness. Let Trayce and Jake hold down LF until Taylor comes back and leave Lux alone at 2nd base. Urias would have faired much better if the left fielder makes those plays.
So how long does the Muncy debacle continue? Something has to change. Either he starts producing or he needs to sit.
Muncy’s average exit velo has improved dramatically over the past month and his BABIP is at .186 which is a number I don’t think I’ve ever seen before for a guy who gets regular at bats.
Those two things indicate he may be about to pull a JT and get somewhat back to normal. In the meanwhile, I certainly understand those who don’t like to see Lux shuffled off to left field so that Max can be in the lineup.
I share your hope that Max will come around. All of the signs are there. The .186 BABIP is very telling. Max in the lineup is not hurting the Dodgers right now. But let him be the DH and occasional 3B for JT. Lux is not a LF. It is not fair to him. Why would they want to do anything to mess with his confidence? Keep him at 2B. He works very well with Trea Turner.
FWIW, Per Jon Morosi, The Dodgers and Reds have had preliminary discussions on Luis Castillo.
JP Morosi has got to be the nicest guy in all of baseball AND he speaks 125 different languages………………….however, there are reporters out there who tend to have better sources and are usually more accurate than Jon is.
Of course, to say that Andrew called the Reds about Castillo is not exactly a scoop. AF is checking on everyone, just in case someone’s ask is for players we really feel are redundant to our system. With Montas and Mahle both hurt, I wouldn’t expect Andrew to hear anything that appeals to him.
I doubt I would like the deal from a prospect point of view and I doubt he comes here, but I’m ready for anything.
Our outfield worries are over.
As per Josh Thomas: 17 year old Samuel Munoz, the #1 prospect from the Jan 22 IFA class for the Dodgers, is slashing .380/.469/.506 in the DSL
Always nice to see a heavily touted signing get off to a good start.
Not bad for a 17 year old. That’s 26th in the league. Oswaldo Osario, another 17 year old, is 19th in the league. I’ve never heard of either one of them. Do your thing Andrew and convince Cincinnati they are both going to become Alvarezes.