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Dodgers Draw The Padres In the NLDS

Well once again, Max Scherzer was a pivotal part of the reason his team is no longer in the playoffs.  Last year he had a tired arm for the Dodgers and could not start when most needed.  This year, he probably should not have pitched in Game 1 because he just got blasted.  And Steve Cohen has the pleasure of paying Max $86.67MM over the next two years.  He threw 34 less innings this year than last year, because he was on the IL twice in 2022.  He isn’t magically going to be injury free in the next two years.  That’s like believing that Clayton Kershaw would not be on the IL in 2023.

Now the question will be whether Cohen is going to double down on $40MM+ annual salaries for yet another injury prone pitcher in Jacob deGrom.  And of course Edwin Díaz is looking for a 9 figure contract.

The Mets and the Padres are 2 of the 4 teams I dislike more than any other.  SF and NYY are the other two.  So it was hard for me to root for either team.  I was hoping against hope that somehow Chris Bassitt would match Joe Musgrove, only because I thought the Mets pitching was not as good as San Diego’s. Scherzer and deGrom both struggled late in the season.  Bassitt was never considered an overwhelming problem.  Yu Darvish, Blake Snell, and Joe Musgrove always looked like a more formidable rotation IMO.

Instead, Joe Musgrove was absolutely dealing, and the Mets could not touch him.  Pete Alonso breaks the perfecto with a single in the 5th.  He then retired the next six NYM hitters.  Joe Musgrove was the 1st pitcher in a winner take all game to go 7.0 innings and allow one hit.  As it turned out, this was the first winner take all game where there was only one hit for the game.  I remember last year writing that Joe Musgrove was a great addition to San Diego, and it was not well received.

Joe Musgrove’s spin rates were WAY up.  Through 6.0 IP his spin rates were:

  • 4-seam Fastball – Spin rate increase 108 RPM
  • Cutter – Spin rate increase 127 RPM
  • Slider – Spin rate increase 230 RPM
  • Curveball – Spin rate increase 195 RPM
  • Sinker – Spin rate increase 47 RPM
  • Change – Spin rate increase 147 RPM

Buck Showalter did not believe that these increase spin rates were all natural and complained to the umpires that Musgrove was using some sticky stuff.  The umpires did a body search on Musgrove and found nothing.

My least favorite MLB player, Manny Machado, looked over in the Mets dugout smiled and yelled out…”weak”.  Musgrove was also demonstrative after an out.  All Showalter did was to further motivate San Diego and prove that Musgrove was in the hitters heads.

After 7.0 IP, the spin rates for the 4-seam fastball, cutter, and change were down a bit, but the slider spin rate increased even more.

Robert Suarez came into the 8th, followed by a very different Josh Hader.  No NYM batter reached 1st against either pitcher.

I figure either Mike Clevinger comes off the IL or Sean Manaea will start game 1.  Nick Martinez seems to be fully entrenched in the bullpen.  Yu Darvish will probably get Game 2, followed by Blake Snell and then Joe Musgrove.  The Dodger bats better be alive.  Will being off a week make the bats heavier?

Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres flat out owned NYM.  I firmly believe the Dodgers pitching will be a lot different than the Mets.  The Dodgers batters will be tougher outs than the Mets.  The 14-5 record is meaningless going into this best 3 of 5 series.  I absolutely like the Dodgers, but it will be a tough series.



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Fred Vogel

It was impossible for me to root for either team but I know playing SD will lighten the travel load and Dodger fans will flock to SD to support the team.

Singing the Blue

Padres are making it almost impossible for fans outside the immediate SD area to buy tickets so it will have to be Dodger fans who live down there.


Three things:

  1. I kinda like the Padres. I really respect how they go for it. I always liked Darvish and feel the Astros did him and Kershaw the dirtiest. Their owner has “old-school” Dodger ties.
  2. Lovely article at The Athletic ($$$$) about Freeman. It’s about accepting change, effecting change, fitting in and coming to grips.
  4. A little stat that really resonates with me about how variant the MLB playoffs are is (are is?)…. Geoff Pontes of Baseball America, who knows more about baseball than all of us put together, went 0-4 in his picks for the Wildcard round. Zero for four.

I thought the Mets should be favored. Don’t know if they were. Picking home teams made sense to me. 5 game series after teams on the road won? Easy. I’ll take home teams again.

I read that Freeman article. Good read. Another good read on Trea Turner in the Times. Worst walk to strikeout rate in his career. Lowest average exit velocity since his rookie year, lowest slugging % since’18. In 39 playoff games he’s hit .228 with an OPS of .561. He hasn’t exactly been lighting it up lately. .589 OPS last 14 days.

It’s simple for me – if the team plays to its abilities, they will win. If they don’t, it’s anybody’s series.

Last edited 1 year ago by Badger
Singing the Blue

Based on what Trea’s numbers were this year (his walk year) and his previous numbers in post season play, maybe he just doesn’t respond well to pressure.

That said, I’d still like to see him back here.

Singing the Blue

I agree with your comments about the Pads, Bluto, but I think we’re almost definitely the only Dodger fans who feel that way. They have the exact opposite team mentality that we do. We’re low key, head down, do your work, get it done.
The Padres are boisterous, in your face, we’re great/you suck.

I’d hate for them to beat us, because they’d be impossible to live with, and the SD fans would completely destroy downtown San Diego in celebration. But I do respect them as a team and I know damn well that if my team had that attitude I’d think it was a great thing.

Those who compare them to our little brother are right. Never quite good enough to beat their older brother. But guess what, eventually, at some point, little brother does do it. I just hope it isn’t this year and this series.

Fred Vogel

What an embarrassment. The Padres have overtaken the Giants as my Public Enemy #1.

Singing the Blue

Padre front office apparently has no clue how many Dodger fans live in the area they say is OK. There will probably be at least 1/3 of the stadium dressed in blue.

Dodgers have just announced they aren’t selling tickets to anyone who lives outside of Echo Park.

Singing the Blue

From what I’ve seen on TV and the internet, the response to the new Wild Card playoff setup seems to be very positive.

I was 4-0 in my picks for the Wild Card winners. I made my picks this morning. 🙂

OK, I’m going to take a big chance and pick the next round ahead of the games. Here goes:

Phillies (yep, a huge upset)

I bet I don’t get more than 4 wrong.

Michael Norris

Pads-LA, bring it on. Dodgers in 4. 109-47 in runs scored during the 19 games. Totally dissed the Dodgers in the post-game comments just talked about how great the Pads starters were. LA has some pretty good ones too.

Singing the Blue

Brian Kenny (on MLB tv this morning) gave the spin number improvement over his normal rates and it was ridiculous. More or less said, “I can’t prove it, but if I had to say yes or no, I’d say he was cheating.”

I still think they should check the catchers also. Nothing prevents them from having something on their equipment which they can rub the ball on before returning it to the pitcher.


Before that incident happened, I noticed his ears looked wet, or oily. They were clearly shiny. So I watched as closely as I could to see if touched his ear. He did. A couple of times.

Why are spin rates back up? Maybe there’s something dry that gives better grip. I know there has been minor league experimenting done with tackier balls, maybe they’re rubbing the balls differently now without announcing it.


If there was something on the ball by the end of an inning, it would be widely known by now.

spin rates are up quite a bit, so I’m sure something is amiss. Pretty sure it’s not a tangible substance.

Singing the Blue

McCutchen tweeted the following while they were inspecting Musgrove’s ears:

Here we go. I guarantee Musgrove has Red Hot on his ears. Pitchers use it as mechanism to stay locked in during games. It burns like crazy and IDK why some guys thinks it helps them but in no way is it “sticky.” Buck is smart tho. Could be trying to just throw him off.”


If everybody here thinks SD is a tacky team why is it so surprising that it rubs off onto baseballs? It’s the machado effect.

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