The Dodgers have a new shortstop. Or do they? Miguel Rojas is a proven MLB defensive SS with a career slash line of .260/.314/.358/.672, and a career OPS+ of 85. His strikeout percentage was 12% last year, with a 12.6% career strikeout percentage. There is no denying that Rojas is not a major offensive threat, but he will put the ball in play, and he will save runs.
Rojas is back with LAD for his second stint. He was signed by the Dodgers to a MiLB contract in November 2012. He joined the LAD roster in 2014, but did not show at that time that he would be anything more than a AAAA player than have a 9 year career. In one of AF’s first transactions (December 2014), Rojas was traded with 2B Dee Gordon, RHP Dan Haren, and cash to Miami Marlins, for LHP Andrew Heaney, RHP Chris Hatcher, 2B Kiké Hernandez and C Austin Barnes. Heaney was then traded to LAA for Howie Kendrick.
Is the plan to put Rojas at SS and leave Gavin Lux at 2B? Or do the Dodgers really need yet another utility player? Could this be a pre-cursor to a CT3 trade? Speculation will be rampant, as there are those who are pooh-poohing this trade. I am an avid Jake Amaya fan, but I have no issues with this trade.
Rojas has been a defensive whiz since he first played at the ML level with the Dodgers in 2014. So much so that I can still remember his back hand stab and throw from behind third base on June 18, 2014, to keep Clayton Kershaw’s no hitter intact. I did not see it with my eyes, but I sure saw it from my mind’s eyes from the voice of Vin Scully.

I published a post several days ago about how important run prevention was to me. The Dodgers could not possibly go into the season with Muncy, Lux, Vargas (2nd /SS/3B) as the primary infield, could they?. With Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, JDM, Max Muncy, Gavin Lux, and potentially Miguel Vargas, can they make up for the weak bat of Rojas, as long as he puts up GG level defense?
Many were looking for the Dodgers to sign José Iglesias, and admittedly I was in favor early on in the off season. His career slash line is .279/.319/.382/.701. Not a great difference than the career stats of Rojas. But there was no way that Iglesias was the equal to Rojas defensively. While Iglesias is a better offensive threat, would Iglesias’ bat be that much of a difference? The team needs defense more than offense. They should have the offense to score a lot of runs this year. I guarantee you that with the restructured infield, the pitchers are happier today than they were yesterday.
Okay, that is only part of the picture. The Dodgers needed to trade Jake Amaya to get Rojas. While there are those who believe that Amaya can do anything that Rojas can do, I am not in that camp. Amaya has never done it at the ML level what Rojas has done for 9 years. If players can duplicate what they do at AAA at the MLB level, then why have a AAA. Why are so many convinced that Amaya will put up Rojas numbers? Maybe he will. Probably not. The Dodgers might as well just call up last year’s AAA team. Jake Lamb, Kevin Pillar, and Eddy Alvarez all put up much better numbers in OKC, but could not do so with the ML club, and Lamb and Pillar were proven ML players. Jake Lamb was even less productive in Seattle than he was with LAD.
Dodger player personnel execs are obviously not convinced that Amaya can be a ML regular, or at least not at the level of Rojas. If they did believe that, they would never have made the trade. Chances are the Dodgers would have been more comfortable with Michael Busch in the lineup than Amaya. Busch is a much better offensive threat, but he will undoubtedly start the season at OKC. The Dodgers are planning on at least two rookies as position players on the roster, and at least one rookie pitcher. They did not have a single rookie exceed rookie status in 2022. Three rookies planning on being significant players at the ML level, is not something the Dodgers have been comfortable with. They were never going to rely on Amaya to be that ML SS.
There is not a single publication that believes that Amaya is anything more than a utility infielder, and only as a defensive replacement. Are they always correct? No, but they generally have a better understanding of what makes for a ML regular than the average fan.
IMO, Amaya will be a good utility infielder at the ML level, and should have a productive ML career. But not in 2023. Rojas’ ML experience and GG level glove, gives the Dodgers a better team in 2023 than Amaya’s promise.
Amaya is not even projected to be the regular SS for Miami. Right now, Joey Wendle is the first SS on the Marlins depth chart. Amaya is probably ticketed to Jacksonville, the International League AAA affiliate of Miami.
I will follow Amaya’s career, and hope he will become a productive ML player. But for 2023, I will be more comfortable with Miguel Rojas.
Well, we are over the CBT for now. Gotta figure there are moves coming one way or another.
Here’s where we differ.
“He’s already done it at Major League level”
Done what? He has a career OPS+ of 85. That is below ML average. I think Amaya could do that. The only reason he hasn’t is because he has been blocked. And now it appears another move needs to be made to accommodate Rojas.
Could this be happening because the Dodgers don’t believe in Taylor anymore?
Its not that I don’t like Rojas. He is starter material on a non competitive team like Miami and would be a fine backup on the Dodgers. I guess I’m just surprised by this move.
Evidently the Mets used the same doctor as the Giants to review Correa’s medicals. You would have thought they’d seek a second opinion.
Likely Rojas is a 1 year stopgap to solidify the defense. If he’s pure crap, then may be we go find a shortstop at the all star break.
But more importantly, now that Amaya is gone, who’s next in line to perhaps be our future SS? Who gets the SS job in AA or AAA, with an eye towards LA?
RIP Charles White. One of the great Trojans.
To answer the query on when AAV is calculated, it is at the end of the season. Not only are the salaries prorated for the time on the team, there are also incentives that need to be considered. For instance, Noah Syndergaard has $1.5MM in incentives depending on the number of IP. He will get $500K for 150 IP, $500K for 160 IP, and $500K for 170 IP. While teams that are not expected to make the playoffs will monitor those IP at the end of a season, a contender is not going to limit the PA or IP just to save $500K, especially the Dodgers.
The Dodgers are now just under $5MM over the threshold, but that can change in a heartbeat in arbitration. If AF truly wants to get under, he will be able to. $105MM drops off the payroll for 2024. They can delay getting under for a year. The small amount of tax they will incur this year, will not be onerous at all.
The Dodgers have officially released Trevor Bauer.
When hearing the news on the Miguel Rojas acquisition, Max Muncy had this to say:
In this MLB Survey of executives:
https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-front-office-selections-best-farm-systems?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage
The Dodgers ranks:
Farm: 2nd
Draft: 1st
IFA: 1st (tied)
Pitcher Dev: 2nd
Hitter Dev: 1st
Sleeper Dev: 1st
Kelenic’s line while in the minors is awesome. His minor league career line that spans 4 years is:
.295.369.540.909
His career minor league K rate is 21%
His two year MLB career sucks. His line with 500 ABs is:
.168.251.338.589
His major league career K rate is 30%
Vargas career minor league line is:
.313.390.488.878 and spans 4 years
His career minor league K rate is 15.4%
Why will Verdugo hit better than Kelenic in the MLB?
If Muncy is going to play 3rd base, does that mean Vargas is destined for LF? If so, maybe a Vargas for Kelenic trade makes sense and with all trades, other players might be involved to get the trade done.
A lot of fans are pooh poohing this trade. I believe it makes perfect sense. Amaya is an unknown, how he would have played into the Dodgers plans is unknown. Rojas is a veteran infielder with a great glove and a decent bat. The team knows what it is getting, plus the fact there are really no veteran infielders on the bench whatsoever, now there is. Anyone here truly expect Yonny Hernandez to be with the team after spring training??? Nope.
From the Athletic:
“Rojas provides insurance at three positions, which reinforces the Dodgers elsewhere. Some combination of Muncy and Vargas can help fill in the other games at second (where Vargas has done significant work this winter) and third base, with Rojas able to backfill starts. That helps Chris Taylor spend more time in the outfield rather than in the infield.”
This makes sense to me. Utility guy. The Dodgers loves them their utility guys. He and Lux will share time at short.
Maybe his wrist will be fine. Needs some “clean up” this winter.
I have to laugh at some of the idiotic trade ideas I have been seeing. One guy suggested we trade Taylor, Thompson and a minor league pitcher for Ian Happ. Now, Ian Happ is a good player no doubt. But he also is a strikeout machine with one less K last season than Bellinger. They are teammates now, and between them they struck out 299 times last season. His other idea was even dumber, trading those two guys and a minor league pitcher to the Guardians for Ramirez, Naylor, and Rosario. Never happen.
$5.25 million for a 4 WAR catcher is a great deal for the Dodgers.
Buehler $8M and he probably will not pitch an inning in 2023. How does that work? Are we just paying to retain his rights? Seems like they should have worked out some sort of 2 or 3 year extension.
Spotrac says the A’s 2023 payroll will be approximately 38 million.
The Dodgers will be paying Buehler and Bauer over 30 million not to pitch this year.